digital fiat currency vs cryptocurrency Top Knowledge graph

2024-12-14 01:33:29

In a bull market, the market is full of liquidity and investors have a high risk appetite, and the stock price is generally higher than the intrinsic value. In a bear market, expectations are pessimistic and liquidity is exhausted, and the stock price is generally lower than the intrinsic value. Although the stock price will deviate from the intrinsic value most of the time, the stock price is infinitely close to the intrinsic value for a long time.In the past two months, domestic capital has flowed out by more than 1.5 trillion yuan. There are mainly three types of funds flowing out. First, some new investors who came in in October stopped playing. The second is that institutional funds run away, and the third is the reduction of industrial capital+size. In a word, institutions must be one of the forces of market smashing. This round of market is not that institutions don't believe in bull market, but that people don't believe in institutions. If they can't get money, they naturally have no market pricing power.In April, October and November, the volume of transactions increased sharply, which was close to the volume of the bull market in 2015, indicating that a large number of off-exchange funds entered the market, and the volume increased in price, and then rose.


The general direction is that the country wants the stock market to be bullish, so can it be proved technically? Among many technical analysis indicators, I only look at four indicators: K-line, MA, MACD and volume, and I must use long-term indicators to judge the general direction, that is, monthly and quarterly indicators.The above four long-term technical indicators all show that the market trend has changed, from bears to cattle. As far as the general direction and technical indicators are concerned, the market is now on the road to a bull market, and I think the probability is 100%, and there is no contingency.After-hours, personal pension will be expanded to broad-based index products, which is the China version of 401k! At present, there are about 65 million people opening personal pension accounts in China. If the average person pays 6,000 yuan a year, the annual deposit scale is about 150 billion yuan, which is a great incremental fund. If people can make money steadily for a long time, more people will buy personal pensions (tax deductible), thus promoting the slow growth of the stock market.


In April, October and November, the volume of transactions increased sharply, which was close to the volume of the bull market in 2015, indicating that a large number of off-exchange funds entered the market, and the volume increased in price, and then rose.The heavy meeting said to stabilize the stock market. Yesterday, the big A was really stable, and the index didn't rise much. However, more than 3,800 stocks rose, with the median price increase and decrease of +0.9%. Low prices, small and medium-sized microdisks, technology and consumption are still the mainstream!Ordinary retail investors want to make money in the stock market. To put it bluntly, it is time for space. Insist on buying high-quality assets in batches in the extremely undervalued range to ensure that the purchase cost is lower than the intrinsic value, then ignore short-term fluctuations and wait for the value to return until the stock price is significantly higher than the intrinsic value. After thinking about this, in fact, many seemingly complicated problems will be much simpler.

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